Everton vs Aston Villa: Stats, H2H & Prediction

 Everton host Aston Villa in the Premier League at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium, and this fixture could be decisive for both teams. Everton are riding a momentum wave, while Villa are still looking for fluency in attack and consistency under pressure. History suggests goals, close margins, and the possibility of either side getting something — but which way will the pendulum swing?

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Here’s how Everton and Villa have fared recently when they meet.

Metric	Value
Total matches	~56
Everton wins	13 (≈ 23-26 %)
Aston Villa wins	~20-25 (≈ 35-42 %)
Draws	~15-17 (≈ 30-35 %)
Average goals per H2H match	~2.8-3.0 goals
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)	~50-60 % of matches
Over 2.5 Goals in H2H	~55-60 %

Recent Form & Key Stats

How each team has been performing more recently, and what goal-trends suggest.

Team	Last ~6 Matches	Goals per Game (Avg)	Over 2.5 Goals Frequency	BTTS Frequency
Everton	3 Wins / 1 Draw / 2 Losses in last 6	~1.50 goals per game	4 out of 6 matches over 2.5 goals	~50-60 % matches where both teams scored
Aston Villa	2 Wins / 1 Draw / 3 Losses in last 6	~1.17-1.27 goals per game	Also ~4 out of 6 over 2.5 goals in last matches	~50-60 % BTTS occurrence :contentReference[oaicite:13]{index=13}

Tactical Notes & Context

• Everton’s home advantage could be key — playing at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, they seem more confident and their attacking output is improved lately. 
• Aston Villa have struggled early in the season, particularly in finding the net and converting chances. Injuries and lack of sharpness have made them vulnerable.
• Everton may try to press high and capitalize on Villa’s defensive lapses, especially in transition. Villa tend to control possession but have been less clinical.
• Villa’s previous H2H wins give them psychological edge, but Everton’s recent wins and improved attack mean this game could be tighter.

Prediction & Betting Tips

• Most likely outcome: Everton to win narrowly, scoreline around 2-1 Everton.
• Alternative result: 1-1 draw if Villa’s defense holds or Everton waste chances.
• Goals market: Over 2.5 goals looks plausible, supported by H2H and recent matches.
• BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Likely yes, given both clubs often find the net in these encounters.
• Scoreline shout: Everton 2-1 Aston Villa.

Final Verdict

Everton seem to have the momentum, home support, and improved attacking rhythm, making them slight favourites. Aston Villa have quality and experience, but their early-season struggles and inefficiency in front of goal may cost them. Expect an open match, goals, and Everton getting over the line.